12/10/08

Scary Predictions

Fortune spoke to eight of the market's sharpest thinkers and what they had to say about to future is frightening.

Dr.Doom ( N. Roubini ) told that ;
We are in the middle of a very severe recession that's going to continue through all of 2009 - the worst U.S. recession in the past 50 years. It's the bursting of a huge leveraged-up credit bubble. There's no going back, and there is no bottom to it. It was excessive in everything from subprime to prime, from credit cards to student loans, from corporate bonds to muni bonds. You name it. And it's all reversing right now in a very, very massive way. At this point it's not just a U.S. recession. All of the advanced economies are at the beginning of a hard landing. And emerging markets, beginning with China, are in a severe slowdown. So we're having a global recession and it's becoming worse.
Roubini added that home prices are going to fall by another 15% before bottoming out in 2010. And the unemployment rate peaking at around 9% by 2010.

Last of all, Prof. Roubini adviced to investors about future. He said ;
For the next 12 months I would stay away from risky assets. I would stay away from the stock market. I would stay away from commodities. I would stay away from credit, both high-yield and high-grade. I would stay in cash or cashlike instruments such as short-term or longer-term government bonds. It's better to stay in things with low returns rather than to lose 50% of your wealth.

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